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The New York Times Upshot / Siena College Washington 08 Poll:
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Democrat Schrier 46% Republican Rossi 45%
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Voters Lean in Favor of Democrats Controlling House 47-45%; Give President Trump Slight Negative 45-48% Job Approval Rating
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Favorability Ratings: Rossi, 45-39 Percent; Schrier, 34-25 Percent
Loudonville, NY. Democrat doctor, Kim Schrier is locked in a too early to call race with Republican former legislator Dino Rossi, 46-45 percent, according to a new New York Times Upshot/Siena College poll of likely Washington 8th Congressional District voters. Rossi has a 45-39 percent favorability rating, compared to a 34-25 percent favorability rating for Schrier.
Likely voters in this Seattle-area district prefer Democrats rather than Republicans control the House of Representatives next year by 47-45 percent. Voters give President Trump a slightly negative job approval rating with 45 percent approving the job he is doing and 48 percent disapproving and by 44-43 percent they support Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the United States Supreme Court.
This New York Times Upshot/Siena College Poll is part of an ongoing project polling pivotal Congressional races across the country. The data is published live on https://www.nytimes.com/section/upshot. This press release highlights the key findings and provides access in the cross-tabulations to the entire survey as well as how demographic groups answered each question.
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This New York Times Upshot/Siena College WA 08 survey was conducted September 24-26, 2018 by telephone calls in English to 505 WA 08 voters. This poll has a margin of error of +/- 4.6 percentage points. Calls were made to a stratified weighted sample of voters from the L-2 Voter list via both land and cell phones. A likely-to-vote probability was computed for each respondent based on their stated likelihood to vote as well as by virtue of the imputation of a turnout probability score based on past voting behavior. This combined probability to vote score was applied as a weight along with a weight that considered party, age, race/ethnicity, education, region within the district and gender. Polling support for this project provided by Institute for Policy and Opinion Research at Roanoke College, Reconnaissance Market Research, M. Davis & Company, and The Public Opinion Research Lab at the University of North Florida. The Siena College Research Institute, directed by Donald Levy, Ph.D., conducts political, economic, social and cultural research primarily in NYS. SCRI, an independent, non-partisan research institute, subscribes to the American Association of Public Opinion Research Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. For more information, please call Steven Greenberg at 518-469-9858 or Don Levy at 518-783-2901. Survey cross-tabulations and frequencies can be found at: www.Siena.edu/SCRI/SNY.
