The New York Times Upshot / Siena College West Virginia 03 Poll:
Republican Miller Leads Democrat Ojeda 48-40%
By Wide Margin Voters Prefer Republicans to Control House 54-37%; Give President Trump Huge Positive 62-32% Job Approval Rating
Favorability Ratings: Miller, 28-21 Percent; Ojeda, 35-21 Percent
Loudonville, NY. Republican State Delegate Carol Miller leads her Democratic challenger, State Senator Richard Ojeda, 48-40 percent, according to a new New York Times Upshot/Siena College poll of likely West Virginia 3rd Congressional District voters. Miller has a 28-21 percent favorability rating, compared to a 35-21 percent favorability rating for Ojeda.
Likely voters in this southern West Virginia district that includes much of the state’s coal country prefer Republicans rather than Democrats control the House of Representatives next year by a solid majority, 54-37 percent. Voters give President Trump a strong positive job approval rating with 62 percent approving the job he is doing and 32 percent disapproving.
This New York Times Upshot/Siena College Poll is part of an ongoing project polling pivotal Congressional races across the country. The data is published live on https://www.nytimes.com/section/upshot. This press release highlights the key findings and provides access in the cross-tabulations to the entire survey as well as how demographic groups answered each question.
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This New York Times Upshot/Siena College WV 03 survey was conducted September 8-10, 2018 by telephone calls in English to 499 likely WV 03 voters. This poll has a margin of error of +/- 5.0 percentage points. Calls were made to a stratified weighted sample of voters from the L-2 Voter list via both land and cell phones. A likely-to-vote probability was computed for each respondent based on their stated likelihood to vote as well as by virtue of the imputation of a turnout probability score based on past voting behavior. This combined probability to vote score was applied as a weight along with a weight that considered party, age, race/ethnicity, education, region within the district and gender. Polling support for this project provided by Institute for Policy and Opinion Research at Roanoke College, Reconnaissance Market Research, M. Davis & Company, and The Public Opinion Research Lab at the University of North Florida. The Siena College Research Institute, directed by Donald Levy, Ph.D., conducts political, economic, social and cultural research primarily in NYS. SCRI, an independent, non-partisan research institute, subscribes to the American Association of Public Opinion Research Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. For more information, please call Steven Greenberg at 518-469-9858 or Don Levy at 518-783-2901. Survey cross-tabulations and frequencies can be found at: www.Siena.edu/SCRI/SNY.