Trump Holds onto 4-Point Lead in Georgia; Harris Grabs 5-Point Advantage in Arizona; Nevada Now a Toss-up Among Likely Voters

  • North Carolina in Play, Harris 49%, Trump 47%; Stein Up Over Robinson 49-39%
  • Dems’ Lead Senate Races in Arizona & Nevada by 9 Points; Vance Has Negative Favorability in All Four States; Walz, Less Known, Viewed Positively in AZ, NC & NV

NYT Registered Voters Crosstabs       NYT Likely Voters Crosstabs      AZ Toplines      GA Toplines      NV Toplines      NC Toplines      AZ RV Crosstabs      GA RV Crosstabs      NV RV Crosstabs      NC RV Crosstabs      AZ LV Crosstabs      GA LV Crosstabs      NV LV Crosstabs      NC LV Crosstabs

“Vice-President Kamala Harris’ campaign has picked up steam heading into the Democratic National Convention as Harris tops former President Donald Trump in Arizona by 5 points, North Carolina by two and only trails in Nevada by a single point. Trump continues to lead in Georgia by 4 points but when compared to battleground polls from the New York Times and Siena College from May, Harris has gained an average of over 9 points each across Arizona, Georgia and Nevada. As the two VP candidates, J.D. Vance and Tim Walz, introduce themselves to voters, Vance currently suffers negative favorability in Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina and Nevada, while Walz is less well known but seen positively in three of the four states – negatively only in Georgia,” according to Don Levy, SCRI’s Director.