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The New York Times Upshot / Siena College Texas 32 Poll:
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Republican Incumbent Sessions 48% Democrat Allred 47%
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Voters Split on Control of House; Give President Trump Negative 44-52% Job Approval Rating
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Favorability Ratings: Sessions, 42-44 Percent; Allred, 38-15 Percent
Loudonville, NY. Incumbent Republican Congressman Pete Sessions holds a thin one-point lead, 48-47 percent over Democratic challenger, lawyer, Colin Allred according to a new New York Times Upshot/Siena College poll of likely Texas 32nd Congressional District voters. Allred has a 38-15 percent favorability rating, compared to a negative 42-44 percent favorability rating for Sessions.
Likely voters in this Dallas-area district are virtually evenly divided on House control. Forty-eight percent prefer Democrats while 47 prefer Republicans control the House of Representatives next year. Voters give President Trump an 8-point negative job approval rating with 44 percent approving the job he is doing and 52 percent disapproving but by 50-41 percent they support Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the United States Supreme Court.
This New York Times Upshot/Siena College Poll is part of an ongoing project polling pivotal Congressional races across the country. The data is published live on https://www.nytimes.com/section/upshot. This press release highlights the key findings and provides access in the cross-tabulations to the entire survey as well as how demographic groups answered each question.
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This New York Times Upshot/Siena College TX 32 survey was conducted September 19-24, 2018 by telephone calls in English and Spanish to 500 TX 32 voters. This poll has a margin of error of +/- 4.8 percentage points. Calls were made to a stratified weighted sample of voters from the L-2 Voter list via both land and cell phones. A likely-to-vote probability was computed for each respondent based on their stated likelihood to vote as well as by virtue of the imputation of a turnout probability score based on past voting behavior. This combined probability to vote score was applied as a weight along with a weight that considered party, age, race/ethnicity, education, region within the district and gender. Polling support for this project provided by Institute for Policy and Opinion Research at Roanoke College, Reconnaissance Market Research, M. Davis & Company, The Public Opinion Research Lab at the University of North Florida and The Survey Research Center at the University of Waterloo. The Siena College Research Institute, directed by Donald Levy, Ph.D., conducts political, economic, social and cultural research primarily in NYS. SCRI, an independent, non-partisan research institute, subscribes to the American Association of Public Opinion Research Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. For more information, please call Steven Greenberg at 518-469-9858 or Don Levy at 518-783-2901. Survey cross-tabulations and frequencies can be found at: www.Siena.edu/SCRI/SNY.
