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The New York Times Upshot / Siena College Colorado 06 Poll:
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Democrat Crow Leads GOP Incumbent Coffman 51- 40%
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Voters Prefer Democrats Control House 54-40%; Give President Trump Large Negative 37-59% Job Approval Rating
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Favorability Ratings: Coffman, 38-41 Percent; Crow, 30-22 Percent
Loudonville, NY. Democratic challenger, lawyer Jason Crow holds an eleven-point lead over incumbent Republican Congressman Mike Coffman, 51-40 percent, according to a new New York Times Upshot/Siena College poll of likely Colorado 6th Congressional District voters. Coffman has a 38-41 percent favorability rating, compared to a 30-22 percent favorability rating for Crow.
Likely voters in this suburban Denver district prefer Democrats rather than Republicans control the House of Representatives next year by 54-40 percent. Voters give President Trump a large negative job approval rating with 37 percent approving the job he is doing and 59 percent disapproving and by 64-33 percent they support a federal gun control law that would ban the sale of assault-style guns and high-capacity magazines.
This New York Times Upshot/Siena College Poll is part of an ongoing project polling pivotal Congressional races across the country. The data is published live on https://www.nytimes.com/section/upshot. This press release highlights the key findings and provides access in the cross-tabulations to the entire survey as well as how demographic groups answered each question.
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This New York Times Upshot/Siena College CO 06 survey was conducted September 12-14, 2018 by telephone calls in English and Spanish to 500 CO 06 voters. This poll has a margin of error of +/- 4.8 percentage points. Calls were made to a stratified weighted sample of voters from the L-2 Voter list via both land and cell phones. A likely-to-vote probability was computed for each respondent based on their stated likelihood to vote as well as by virtue of the imputation of a turnout probability score based on past voting behavior. This combined probability to vote score was applied as a weight along with a weight that considered party, age, race/ethnicity, education, region within the district and gender. Polling support for this project provided by Institute for Policy and Opinion Research at Roanoke College, Reconnaissance Market Research, M. Davis & Company, and The Public Opinion Research Lab at the University of North Florida. The Siena College Research Institute, directed by Donald Levy, Ph.D., conducts political, economic, social and cultural research primarily in NYS. SCRI, an independent, non-partisan research institute, subscribes to the American Association of Public Opinion Research Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. For more information, please call Steven Greenberg at 518-469-9858 or Don Levy at 518-783-2901. Survey cross-tabulations and frequencies can be found at: www.Siena.edu/SCRI/SNY.
